Business
Belson prowls for Blakely
Is Uyu selling the Farm?
Politics
The President's land reform agenda
Con-CDP nominee line-up
Law
Holding back the Guwimithian wolves
International
Rovens: Keeping Keralski quiet
Dignania: Would Kemp withdraw?
Sport
Football: Utania's new UFA
Football: Victory in Zartania!
Golf: Where HAS the golf gone?
|
Subscribe to Zeitgeist
Subscriber queries
|
What IS a Zeitgeist?
Jerman for "Spirit of the Age". In this case it is to mean the "spirit" of the Utanian
people, the magazine reporting the people's thoughts behind the press-releases and reported
news.
Want an article published?
Would you like an article published by Zeitgeist Magazine? Please send the text of the
article for evaluation, OR send us an email describing the issue/story you would like
published to the email Editor@jaggedblue.com.
|
©Zeitgeist Magazine, 301 AP.
Email: Editor@jaggedblue.com
<TECH>
©Mike Ham, 2001. All rights reserved. No reproduction without, at least, tacit approval. ;-)
|
|
Land Reform's endless controversies
Land reform is one of the more contentious and fraught issues that the
government and the President have had to face. Yet, this week's new land-ownership law
provides a clue as to the direction the Okarvits administration is heading in.
Land reform was the rallying cry of Utani MPs when independence was granted over
two years ago, but the government has been nothing but slow moving on the topic. That is
because President Okarvits does not know what to do, claim opponents and analysts. Not so,
claim his supporters, but the President must take a moderate line, because the extremes
could devastate the country.
Yet, there are signs that Utani voters are getting increasing agitated about the
issue, and their federal government MPs in turn. 1.5 million voted for the conservative
parties in the last federal election from what one would assume to be strongly Utani
nationalist regions of Chiquiti, Kanhara and Tuama, the western tribes, meaning the
government's hold is nothing to be taken for granted. Worse yet that any of these parties
offer a viable alternative.
Problematic solutions
To be fair, the issue was never going to be easy. On one extreme, the Utani people
could simply rise up and seize the lands owned by white farmers. The consequence would be
the end of agricultural production, and the end of the export boom that accompanies it. A
legal nightmare of land transfers by occupation would follow, with police being either
compelled to forcefully evict the occupiers, ending the government's support base, or the
police and government joining in support of the occupation, ending in international
sanctions and loss of export markets. In either case, the rule of law would be violated,
white farmers would flee the country and economic collapse would most likely follow.
The less extreme alternative is that the government buys the land back, but this
is enormously contentious and expensive, and, so far, Utani Saedaj government MPs have
hampered such plans. Why pay for land that already belongs to the Utani, that was
forcefully confiscated? Furthermore, why pay an estimated Û1,100 billion, twice the
size of the economy, and more than fifteen times the government's budget, for land already
belonging to the Utani?
Of course, this also assumes that the "white farmers" are ready and willing to
sell. Should the government force them off their own farms, while paying them a standard
rate, or should it buy the farms according to the farmers' demands? Furthermore, what
becomes of the productivity of the farms, when experienced farmers leave them to Utani
communities with, perhaps, little talent for farming, or, more importantly, managing
farms.
These concerns have been echoed repeatedly by the President's top staffers,
indicating the level of caution the Administration is taking. As Zeitgeist Magazine
pointed out when the President was elected almost two-years ago, he would need Solomon's
wisdom to weave a solution. And, yet, there are clues the President is so gifted.
What's good enough for foreigners...
This week's land-ownership legislation offers the best path to solving this problem,
and a clue to the President's mind on land reform. The new law prevents non-resident
foreigners owning land, but does grant them leasing rights that are very secure. The
leases are for ten to ninety-nine years, with a minimum ten year warning-of-intent from
land-owners to leasers before the latter can be "evicted".
Yet, even this will not satisfy farmers. Afterall, billions of punds in loans have
been granted to these farm-owners for new store-sheds, new tractors, new technology to
enhance the productivity of their farms, on the basis that should they default, at least
the bank had their land as security. But, not if they don't own it.
A Reserve Bank team established to assess the impact is due to tell the government
that the consequences of this would be the default on billions of punds worth of loans.
The obvious solution is that the government guarantees the loans, and pays up should the
farmers fail to pay.
Yet, even this is not enough, because it only secures the loans of today: what
about tomorrow, or next year?
"No land, no business"
"I think it would be fair to say that it would destroy the farming industry in
this country", says Henry Papa Caureaczek, head of the Tobacco Farmers Federation,
and a tobacco farmer from the Hamilton region in Lasanne state.
"We would have nothing against which to sure-up the business. We want a loan, but
what would we have to secure the loan against? The business? That's not worth squat if the
Utani pull the rug out from under us and take back the land no land, no business.
no business, certainly no more loans, and no more expansion of the business."
"I think Utanian farming would be left behind in the 80s for the next forty years."
And the Utanian Farmers Federation agrees.
In its annual report to members on April 14th, the UFF told members that the
"biggest threat to the future of farming is the prospect of land being removed from the
equation without compensation for farmers".
The UFF claims that if farmers are simply "duped" out of their land, that is,
transferred without compensation, then the farming industry would, most likely, collapse
under the weight of business development loans.
It is a result, the UFF claims, the country can ill-afford.
A possible solution?
Not so fast, demands the Utani Business and Economic Foundation (UBEF), a non-profit
Utani nationalist think-tank based in Utan Krysaror.
UBEF says the farmers would have their loan guarantees made by the land-owners,
being the local Utani, who would, in turn, profit from the return made on the investment.
"This is a very good thing not only for the economy, but for the Utani people",
says an excited Dr Jeff Omara of UBEF's agricultural economics unit. "The law could
guaranteeing 40% of the value of the land to the farmers, not theirs to own, but theirs
to use in developing their farming businesses.
"It would be an compulsory investment by the Utani community in that business that
the farmers would have to treat as an equal partner in that business. This empowers the
communities, and gives the farmer the development capital he needs."
Furthermore, Omara claims, it would be a huge boon for the Utanian economy.
"All this suddenly available development funding backed by the land that was
previously under-capitalised. Utani communities will become their own business managers
for a start, and have a wealth of money to invest for their own development.
"It's good all 'round."
The UFF disagrees.
"Most farmers I know have 80% of their land tied up in loan guarantees, so 40% is
barely going to cover half of them", claims Caureaczek. Worse yet, he points out, farmers
will be losing the one thing that their ancestors have been passing down to them.
"Yes", Omara observes, "We Utani know that feeling very well."
|
|
Stock Exchange:
Stocks continue to stagnate - when will the Govt. release cash controls?
|
|