Cover
Rovens: an end to 40 years of war?
Business
Exports rotting on the docks
But, Reagan scores a win in Guwimith
Politics
The big decision: Parliament or President
The Consequence of delay
Is Okarvits up for the job?
International
May Day: what protests?
Communist Abaco leader to be arrested
Sport
Coup in the UFA!!
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Jerman for "Spirit of the Age". In this case it is to mean the "spirit" of the Utanian
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The longest march.
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It has been forty years coming, but it will have been worth the wait. The
guerrilla movement that began in the highlands near the affluent Guwimithian colony of
Port of Olives, now controls almost one third of the region of what is now Rovens. Now,
the Empire they despised is gone, peace may be just around the corner.
Here we analyse the why's and where's of the rebellion that has lasted forty
years, and ask whether a peace is really at all possible.
The Secretary of the Pataki Communist Party, and effective Interior Minister of
the almost separate state centred on the city of Patak, Piers K'nossa remembers the
marches
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as gruelling flights from terror, long and difficult climbs into mountains that
could just as easily take their lives as the Guwimithian Army could.
K'nossa was eighteen in 260ap, when the Guwimithian Army reigned terror on the
Pataki people. A poor yield from farms the previous three years had lead to widespread
starvation in the Pataki region. The government, meanwhile, insisted on continuing the
policy of rubber plantations on good cropland - the rubber was essential for Guwimithian
manufacturing, while the Dependencies were expendable. So while the people in the city of
Patak starved, stories were told of plentiful supply in warehouses in the Guwimithian
family-owned farms on the east of the mountain range.
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Supported by communists and other anti-Guwimithian democrats around the world, the Pataki
Peoples Army had its beginnings as guerrillas who raided the massive farms in the lower
lands near Kpotha and T'jomapai, to collect food from the warehouses. Within a year, a
massive underground network of transport trucks,
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and donkey convoys carried the precious cargoes back to the city of Patak.
Little appreciative of the situation the other side of the mountains, the Guwimithian
nobles who absentee-owned the farms were distressed at the loss of export crops and ordered
the Guwimithian Dependencies Security Forces (GDSF) to deal with the thievery. When they
proved ineffective, given that most were supportive of the raiders, if not actively
supporting them, as they were mostly conscripts from the Dependencies, the Army proper was
introduced, and the suppression was horrific.
Thousand simply disappeared, hundreds more were arrested and executed without trial.
And with local farms around Patak producing again, the guerrilla raiders found a new cause.
Yet, despite their best efforts, they were no match for even the poorly equipped but
ruthless regular army. The Pataki rebels retreated into the mountains they knew better,
and hid, emerging only in Patak for supplies.
Thus began the era of the long marches. K'nossa had joined the rebels
during their raiding days in 261, and managed to survive the slaughter of 262. Now, the
next threat to his life was the marches all over the mountains, from one side to the other
in a couple of days, desperately hoping to avoid capture as they raided Army outposts on
either side of the mountains. This way they continued fighting for another fifteen years,
until their numbers allowed them to strike a foothold into the Pataki region, which had
lost its usefulness after the development of artificial rubbers. In 278, the final march:
after a seventy-three day battle with the Guwimithian 15th Heavy Infantry Brigade, they
captured Patak and began an over twenty year reign of the city.
Now, for K'nossa, his ultimate march may soon be over. The enemy of forty years is
gone, his country is a free nation, and the communist rebellion may end peacefully. Yet,
it is proving difficult for the PIMR government to convince the communist regime of Patak
that this is true, so the long march may be one that K'nossa is forcing his opponents
in the government of Rovens to do.
Negotiations
The communist rulers of the Pataki region have controlled the region for over twenty
years under a communist dictatorship. During that time, the rubber plantations have been
restored to fertile farmland, cotton crops were introduced for clothing, the local iron
smelter even helps to produce bullets that the Pataki Peoples Army desperately needed to
maintain their control of the region.
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Schools, hospitals, a system of self-government based on the communist model all came to
the Pataki region, and the people welcomed it, after years of military oppression under
the cruel Guwimithian Army and its special forces. Thousands upon thousands more flocked
to join the Peoples Army, strengthening the forces holding back the Guwimithian army
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making it possible to keep them out of Patak forever.
With their bringing peace, the communists earned the crown of the Pataki Kings,
who ruled the region as the Pataki Empire a thousand years ago, and no matter how badly
they ruled, they would no longer be foreign kings.
Now, the people under the Pataki dictatorship fear that their days of peace are at
and end. The Guwimithian government may have gone, and their party is negotiating with
the PIMR government to end the forty year rebellion, and restore civilian control to the
Pataki region. But how can they be so sure that the PIMR government of Haastadt isn't
as bad as the overlords of before?
One way is inclusion: their own Pataki Communist Party (PCP), of which Mr K'nossa is secretary,
is a key member of the PIMR government. Another is to rally in support, demonstrating the
awesome support the communists have in Patak, and thus the power they would have under
a democratic system.
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At the rally on May Day, May 1st, 400,000 rallied in support of the communist
regime, ensuring that the PIMR government negotiators understood the power the PCP, and
the need for the PCP to remain a key member of the PIMR government. Should the PCP pull
out of the coalition because they are unhappy with the deal the government is forcing on
them in
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peace negotiations, they can walk away from the PIMR coalition, forcing it into minority
government.
Trust
Insiders say that the PCP does trust the PIMR government, just not the right-wingers
that might come to power if elections are held. They fear the fascist elements that
continue to control the Rovens Army might have too much influence in the government, and
may seek revenge on the former communist leaders that humiliated them.
So, they are seeking a autonomous state within Rovens, where they will maintain a
"police force" and the Army will maintain only the border with neighbouring Begral. It
will also allow the communists to retain the system of education, which PIMR moderates
oppose as simple indoctrination, and the free basic health care.
To counter the demands, the PIMR government is also proposing free healthcare and
an education system free for all and open to all. They also propose that the PPA (Pataki
Peoples Army) follow the lead of the Peoples Democratic Army in March, and join the Rovens
Army as a new Division, eventually integrating with the rest of the Army.
The communists do view the integration of their communist state into Rovens as
an inevitable step, as the UNVCOCN mandated it, and they will receive little
international support on their own. Much of the supplies they had received were from
non-communist allies, allies who would cease supporting them if they tried to break up
the state of Rovens.
Yet, if integration is inevitable, it is all a matter of how. They are adamant that
the Pataki people should not lose a single benefit of their independence, and they have
made it known that they will not hesitate returning to their jungle kingdom and fighting
the Rovens regime instead, even without international support.
Terms of Negotiation
So, what does the peace demand?
- An end to violence,
- A complete disarmament by the PPA, or integration into the Rovens Army as a new Division,
- Integration of the Communist city administrations into the Haastadt public service,
- Complete freedom of passage for all citizens of Rovens, including the military, through the region, and
- Effectively an end to the communist state.
Not to mention the continued support of the PCP for the PIMR government. And it is this
final demand that made necessary the massive and very public rally last Tuesday: the
communists made sure the PIMR moderates knew just how much respect they would demand.
Respect for their party, and for their communist ideals and policies. The PIMR is a wide
democratic coalition of parties from the moderate-right to the far-left, and the PCP
want to make sure that they are taken seriously as the major partner in such a government.
It bodes poorly for the country. Such diversity can tear it apart, or it can
enrich the body politic. In some respects it would be easier for the Kyonte government to
simply let the communists go. But, they too are committed to the international mandate of
a complete Rovens, making the autonomous state more palatable, a sort of "One country,
Two systems".
Now the far-right's voice becomes known. The Loyalist Army of Guidarma, the
right-wing equivalent of the PPA, renowned for assisting the Guwimithian Army in massive
purges of communist sympathisers in the east of the country, still exists and still
wields influence. Aside from members in the Rovens Army, it has the Army's moral support,
and the support of the wealthy ethnic-Guwimithians from the former Port of Olives
who are still voters who must be included in debate if the country has a hope of pulling
itself out of the economic collapse it appears to be in.
These far-righters, including the Army, absolutely refuse to even consider the idea
of an autonomous communist state within Rovens borders. To add to the government's woes,
there remain at least another two rebel groups who control part of the Pataki "independent"
region - shall they be granted autonomy over areas they control, too? "One nation, four
systems?"
The situation requires a delicate negotiation style, and it remains to be seen
whether the PIMR government negotiators lead by Amea Kope have the necessary tact, skill
and determination to convince the communists the war is over, that their long march is,
indeed, at an end.
In association with Rovens Independent Media.
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Stock Exchange:
Stocks continue to stagnate - when will the Govt. release cash controls?
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The Armed parties in this war over Rovens
From extreme left to extreme right...
The Pataki Peoples Army (PPA), and their political wing, the Pataki Communist
Party (PCP) who control the north-western quarter of the country. Rebels numbering
~25,000.
The Communist Union of Rovens, a coalition of moderate breakaways from the PPA
who despise the PPA; Numbering ~1,000 rebels in the mountain ranges of the country's centre.
The PIMR government, a broad coalition of parties from the far-left to the
moderate, anti-Guwimithian democratic right.
The Democratic Peoples Army, a moderate democratic force of 5,500 rebels allied
to the PPA. Thought to have links to rebels in Begral. Despite their moderate politics,
their warlords are the most reluctant in all Rovens to surrender control of their far-west
enclaves.
The Peoples Democratic Army, (former). Now the 14th Infantry Brigade in the
Rovens Army. Numbered 4,000, and very moderate. Links to Gvonjian politics.
The Rovens Army. Though officially neutral and supportive of the democratic
government, the Army is decidedly right-wing and anti-communist, and a recent attempted
coup indicated not completely without desire to "right the balance". Recently, the more
moderate General Keralski is in command, supportive of the PIMR government. Numbering
40,000 soldiers, including 2,000 in the Navy, 700 in the air force.
The Loyalist Army of Guwimith/Guidarma/Kotovsk, all three titles apply. They
number 15,000 and are loyal to the RAIU, often performing "special services" at the
direction of the RAIU. Or so it is claimed. Majority are weekend warriors with right-wing
and anti-communist politics.
The Rovens Army Intelligence Unit. Staffed by former "security forces" of the
loyalist type, the RAIU is the most feared unit in the Army, a sort of secret police, whom
it is said are responsible for the majority of "disappearances" in Rovens.
Analysis courtesy Rovens Independent Media Political
Analysis Group (RIMPAG). All opinions expressed in this column are not necessarily a 100%
true reflection of the situation in Rovens, but are based on the best information to date.
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Est. support by voters for political wings:
Clockwise from extreme-left to extreme-right, red to purple, the PIMR are the government,
though the PCP (communists) are part of the PIMR coalition. The Democratic Reform Alliance
and the Peoples Party of Gvonj are PIMR allies in the current caretaker Parliament.
The Democratic Union Party are free-market conservatives, while the Loyal Nationalists
and Liberal Party are the extreme right wing of Rovenian politics.
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